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Wednesday, June 13, 2012

32 Fantasy Previews: Chicago Bears

32 Fantasy Previews continues with a visit to the Windy City and a look at the Chicago Bears.

Jay Cutler

Two of Chicago's top offensive players were bit by the injury bug in 2011. One of those players was Jay Cutler.

A broken thumb cut Cutler's season short after 10 games, in which he tallied 2,319 yards and 13 passing touchdowns, as well as a rushing touchdown.

He did end up 25th among QBs, but if you extract his numbers over a 16-game season, he would rank 12th, ahead of Ben Roethlisberger and right behind Michael Vick.

Cutler has some new toys to play with, and Mike Martz is gone.

Cutler could provide one of the better values among QBs. He is currently the 16th QB off the board on My Fantasy League, going in Round 12. Cutler is a QB2 with QB1 upside with his new weapons.

Matt Forte

The other top offensive player to suffer an injury in 2011 was Matt Forte.

A knee injury cost Forte his final four games, but he still finished as the #15 RB, finishing just three yards shy of 1,000. He also added 490 yards receiving, which makes him a good asset in PPR leagues.

He looks to be healthy, but his contract talks are not.

Forte is looking for a long-term contract, has yet to sign his franchise tender and did not report to Bears' Mini-Camp.

If Forte holds out of training camp, his stock may drop a bit. We've seen top fantasy options get off to poor starts after holding old, some lingering throughout the season (see Chris Johnson 2011).

Forte is currently the 8th RB off the board, going in the middle of Round 2. What could hurt Forte is he may lose goal line touches, as well as the aforementioned possible holdout.

His value is maintained by his ability to pick up big yards and catch passes out of the backfield.

Monitor his situation as we head into camps.

Michael Bush

Say hello to the man who could vulture Forte's goal line touchdowns.

After Darren McFadden suffered yet another injury and missed nine games, Michael Bush stepped in and put up 740 yards in those nine games and totaled 977 yards and seven touchdowns and finished as the #8 RB.

Now he takes over as Forte's backup, and has a chance to grab some short yards and goal line touchdowns from Forte, especially if Forte does holdout and starts off slow.

Bush is currently the 31st RB off the board, going in Round 8. Just like Peyton Hillis, Bush could provide you a decent number of touchdowns for an 8th-round pick.

Brandon Marshall

Here is one of those new toys I mentioned for Cutler. Chicago traded two 3rd-round picks to Miami to acquire Marshall, finally giving Chicago a true #1 receiver, and reuniting Marshall and Cutler from their days in Denver.

After two solid, but somewhat unspectacular years in Miami (though his QB play wasn't at the level of Cutler's), Marshall is back with Cutler. In 2007 and 2008 (Cutler's last two seasons in Denver before being traded to Chicago) Marshall put up 102 catches for 1,325 yards and 7 TDs in 2007 and 104 catches for 1,265 and 6 TDs in 2008.

Since then, Marshall has put up 1,000 yards every season, and double digit TDs once, in 2008.

However, his touchdown total for the last two season combined (9) is less than his touchdown total from 2008 (10).

But now that he is back with Cutler, look for those numbers to rise again.

Marshall is currently the 11th WR off the board and certainly has top-10 potential. Marshall was 9th and 11th in 2007 and 2008, so he has every chance to return there in his first season in Chicago.

Alshon Jeffery

The rookie from South Carolina looks to be in a battle with Devin Hester for the #2 WR spot in Chicago. However, I fully expect Jeffery to win that job with ease. Hester just has never been a good receiver, and Jeffery has a ton of upside.

Speaking of upside, Jeffery has some of that in fantasy world also. Defenses will focus on Marshall, which could leave Jeffery open to grab some balls and could make a nice flex play or WR3 this season.

Jeffery is currently the 49th WR off the board and is well worth a late-round flyer. He could certainly be a top 30 WR this season.

Kellen Davis

A quick note about a potential sleeper TE in Chicago.

Davis caught 5 touchdowns on just 18 receptions last season, but in Mike Martz's system, the TE was almost non-existent. Look at the difference in production for Greg Olsen in going from Chicago to Carolina.

Martz is now gone, meaning the TE could finally get involved in Chicago, and that is Davis.

Davis is going as the #35 TE, so while he may not have been drafted much as of yet, he is a name to watch on the waiver wire, and could be taken in a deep league.

There's your look at the Bears fantasy players. Tomorrow, we wrap up the NFC North with the Minnesota Vikings.

Until next time, this is your boy, Bill Wild, signing off.

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